Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023137 0.024874 0.026686 0.028718 0.030936 0.033287 0.035970
2024-12-29 0.020088 0.022537 0.025222 0.028394 0.032051 0.036147 0.041104
2025-01-05 0.018021 0.020868 0.024110 0.028094 0.032882 0.038486 0.045586
2025-01-12 0.016301 0.019353 0.022933 0.027472 0.033118 0.039965 0.048981
2025-01-19 0.015361 0.018641 0.022590 0.027740 0.034344 0.042616 0.053900
2025-01-26 0.014445 0.017862 0.022071 0.027696 0.035105 0.044655 0.058101
2025-02-02 0.013824 0.017393 0.021883 0.028021 0.036312 0.047293 0.063229
2025-02-09 0.013046 0.016661 0.021294 0.027755 0.036677 0.048782 0.066831
2025-02-16 0.012412 0.016075 0.020849 0.027631 0.037196 0.050474 0.070793
2025-02-23 0.011811 0.015493 0.020367 0.027413 0.037544 0.051913 0.074445
2025-03-02 0.011337 0.015055 0.020050 0.027392 0.038150 0.053732 0.078762
2025-03-09 0.010782 0.014474 0.019502 0.027002 0.038181 0.054682 0.081775
2025-03-16 0.010213 0.013852 0.018871 0.026466 0.037972 0.055268 0.084280
2025-03-23 0.009776 0.013397 0.018455 0.026218 0.038175 0.056487 0.087881
2025-03-30 0.009368 0.012964 0.018046 0.025955 0.038330 0.057623 0.091405
2025-04-06 0.008904 0.012427 0.017462 0.025392 0.037975 0.057910 0.093489
2025-04-13 0.008696 0.012257 0.017409 0.025636 0.038906 0.060324 0.099410
2025-04-20 0.008425 0.011982 0.017183 0.025596 0.039367 0.061976 0.104095
2025-04-27 0.008259 0.011854 0.017173 0.025892 0.040388 0.064623 0.110770
2025-05-04 0.007967 0.011525 0.016840 0.025650 0.040492 0.065692 0.114587
2025-05-11 0.007725 0.011261 0.016595 0.025537 0.040805 0.067134 0.119207
2025-05-18 0.007475 0.010977 0.016307 0.025338 0.040954 0.068284 0.123337
2025-05-25 0.007280 0.010771 0.016134 0.025319 0.041411 0.070010 0.128728